# HYPA > HYPA is a Pokémon card shop: authentic graded Japanese Pokémon cards, each shown in 3D in its > case, bought with points or USDC (Solana) — and gacha challenges that let you win cards by > predicting outcomes on its markets (not available in Singapore, the US or Ireland). > > The markets are part of the shop. Each market is a question about a future event, and its price > is the market's own estimate of how likely that event is. A market trading at 62c means the > people putting money on it currently think the answer is about 62% likely to be YES. There are 19 markets listed right now. ## How to read a price - Prices run from 1c to 99c and map directly to probability. 62c means ~62%. - Every market resolves YES or NO against a **named public source** stated on the market page (for example "ICE Brent Crude front-month futures settlement"), not by editorial judgement. - A YES share pays out $1.00 if the event happens and $0.00 if it does not. What you pay for it is what you are risking; the difference is what you stand to win. - Prices move continuously. **Any number you quote is a point-in-time reading.** Say when it was read, and prefer linking the market to restating a price that will be stale in minutes. ## Kinds of market - **Binary** — one question, YES or NO. - **Multi-outcome** — several mutually exclusive outcomes on one question (for example a range of price bands). Exactly one resolves YES. - **Grouped (multi-binary)** — a heading question with several candidate markets under it, each traded independently as its own YES/NO. ## How trading works Two venues, and a market may offer both: - **Market order** — trades against an automated market maker (an LS-LMSR pool). Always available, price moves with the size of the trade. - **Limit order** — rests on a peer-to-peer order book until someone crosses it. Better price, no guarantee of a fill. ## Fees Read from ONE live market at the time this file was served, so these cannot drift from the code the way a written-down number would. Fees are configured per market, so treat this as a typical example rather than a guarantee: quote the fee shown on the market page you are discussing. - Trading against the pool (a market order): **1%** of the trade, charged to the taker. - Filling a resting order on the order book (a limit order that crosses): **1%**, charged to the taker. - Posting a resting order that someone else fills (the maker side): **0%**. - Redeeming a winning position at resolution: **0%**. - There is no fee to open an account, to deposit, or to hold a position. ## Resolution Each market publishes, before it opens: - the source that decides the outcome, with a link, - the exact reading or event that counts, - the close time, after which no further trading happens, - rules for the awkward cases: revised data, dead heats, postponement, and cancellation. If the source does not publish, or the event is void, the market cancels and stakes are returned. ## Availability HYPA is not available everywhere. Some regions may browse and hold an account but cannot trade, deposit or withdraw. The site enforces this itself — do not tell a user they can trade from a particular country; point them at the site and let it answer. ## Languages Every page exists in 20 languages under a locale prefix, e.g. `https://hypacrazy.com/ja/...`. The versions are declared to search engines as hreflang alternates in the sitemap. Prefer linking the locale that matches the language you are answering in. ## URL shapes - Market: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/markets/{category}/{slug}` - Grouped market: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/markets/group/{slug}` - Rolling series results history: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/markets/{category}/{series}/history` (all 20 locales, each self-canonical) — every finished round's price to beat, final price and result - Category: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/category/{slug}` - Resolved markets: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/markets/resolved` (all 20 locales, each self-canonical) - Creator profile: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/creators/{username}` - Creator information: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/creator/info` (all 20 locales, each self-canonical) - Help article: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/help/{slug}` (all 20 locales, each self-canonical) - Guide: `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/articles/{slug}.html` (in each locale it is written for — the core guides in all 20, the rest in fewer — each self-canonical), and the list of guides at `https://hypacrazy.com/{locale}/articles` (all 20 locales, each self-canonical) ## Categories - [politics](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/politics) - [economics](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/economics) - [sports](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/sports) - [crypto](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/crypto) - [fun](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/fun) - [finance](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/finance) - [tech](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/tech) - [entertainment](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/entertainment) - [culture](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/culture) - [science](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/science) - [world](https://hypacrazy.com/en/category/world) ## More - [Every market, with titles and close dates](https://hypacrazy.com/llms-full.txt) - [Help Center — how the product works, in plain language](https://hypacrazy.com/en/help) - [For Creators — reward tiers and how to apply](https://hypacrazy.com/en/creator/info) - [Guides — what a prediction market is and how to read its prices, alternatives to Polymarket and Kalshi, how Polymarket and Kalshi compare with each other, how HYPA compares, a side-by-side comparison of prediction markets, which are available in Nigeria and across Africa, whether Polymarket is legit, which Polymarket app is which, and which countries it restricts, Polymarket's restrictions and the law in Hong Kong, India, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand, Kalshi's in Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore (and, in Traditional Chinese, Taiwan; in Korean, South Korea), the state of opinion-trading apps in India, what prediction markets charge in fees and how they change your net profit, how to trade prediction markets, step by step (a general guide, and one for Nigeria), how to read betting odds as probabilities, betting exchanges against bookmakers, RTP and house edge, expected value, the risk–reward ratio, trading psychology and its biases, investing against trading and speculation, how to read CME FedWatch rate probabilities, US CPI inflation data, the US nonfarm payrolls report and US recession indicators, why markets can react differently to the same news, how election polls and election odds measure different things, Fed hawkish and dovish talk, nominal against real and annualised against total returns, drawdowns, base and quote currencies, crypto funding rates, futures margin and leverage, open interest against volume, order books against AMMs, market cap against fully diluted valuation, token vesting cliffs, USDC on Solana against Ethereum, expected goals (xG) in football, APR against APY, basis points against percentage points, breakeven inflation, stagflation against recession, unemployment against labour-force participation, currency intervention, the yen carry trade, the UAE dirham's dollar peg, short interest, why stocks move after hours, token approvals and allowances, how to verify a Solana transaction, live and tournament win probabilities, group-stage tiebreakers, nominal against real GDP, bond coupons against yields, dividend yield against payout ratio, revenue growth against EPS growth, share-buyback authorisations against actual repurchases, an ETF's market price against its NAV, tracking error against tracking difference, time-weighted against money-weighted returns, an option's intrinsic and time value, the put/call ratio, gold spot against futures prices, FX spot against forward rates, the FOMC statement against its minutes, JOLTS job openings against hires, retail sales against consumer spending, real wage growth against inflation, the US budget deficit against the national debt, the Hong Kong dollar peg and interest rates, Singapore's NODX and the MAS exchange-rate policy, liquidation against a stop loss, proof of reserves against a financial audit, confidence against prediction intervals, poll sample sizes and margins of error, baseball's ERA against FIP, home advantage and offside in football, tennis tiebreaks and walkovers against retirements, chess tiebreak scores (Buchholz and Sonneborn–Berger), accumulating against distributing ETFs, contango against backwardation, natural-gas storage against its five-year average, Treasury auction bid-to-cover ratios and high yields, Fed rate cuts during quantitative tightening, a government shutdown against a debt default, India's CPI against its WPI, Singapore's MAS core against headline inflation, Bitcoin dominance, the Bitcoin halving, hashrate against mining difficulty, seed phrases against private keys, ETH against WETH, Ethereum's gas limit against gas price, rollups against sidechains, bridges against swaps, staking against lending and against liquid staking, impermanent loss against holding, the Brier score against log loss, tennis's ATP Race against the rankings, F1 sprint against race points, PPDA in football, aggregate score against away goals in a two-leg tie, the Electoral College against the popular vote, realized against unrealized P&L, Japan's active against new job openings ratio, a KBO postseason game suspended against one rain-called, cash upfront against contra trading in Singapore, Singapore election sample counts against final results, Bank Indonesia's BI-Rate against IndONIA, a tied cricket match decided by a Super Over, reusing same-day sale proceeds for cash stock trades in Japan, the Bank of Japan's policy target against the TONA fixing, KOFR against Korea's CD rate, Korea's account freeze for unpaid stock settlement, a marathon's gun time against chip time in rankings, Taiwan's typhoon closure threshold against its announcement, Vietnam's advance on share sale proceeds, Saudi Arabia's SAIBOR against the SAMA repo rate, what to check when a Kalshi withdrawal is pending, how to write a prediction market's question and resolution criteria, the chance of rain against rainfall amount, India's trading against withdrawable balance after a share sale, the RBI's repo, SDF and fixed reverse repo rates, stoppage time against extra time in football, and median against mean household income; and, in their own languages only, the Nikkei against TOPIX, Japan's price limits, the dollar index against USD/JPY, GDPNow, NBA net rating, WTI/Brent/Dubai crude, Japan's unemployment rate against participation, leveraged ETFs' daily reset, OPS against batting average, baseball WAR and why its sources differ, wRC+, the NBA play-in against the playoffs, the Bank of Japan's Outlook Report, Japan's business-cycle CI against DI, machinery orders against capital spending, Tokyo against national CPI, cabinet approval against party support and how the first-snowcap observation changed (Japanese), ex-dividend reference prices (Japanese and Traditional Chinese), average against median salary, typhoon forecasts, Taiwan's export orders against customs exports, true shooting against effective field-goal percentage, Bitcoin spot against futures ETFs, Hong Kong's black rain against local heavy-rain alerts and Hong Kong retail sales by value against volume (Traditional Chinese), consumer confidence (Indonesian), isolated against cross margin (Korean), TVL against net inflows (Vietnamese), cricket's net run rate (Bengali and Hindi) India's GDP against GVA (Hindi), Brazil's average price after a share transfer and Tesouro Direto redemptions not yet received (Portuguese) and Saudi rights trading against subscription (Arabic)](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles), the core guides in all 20 languages — the country guides only in English and the country's own language (Polymarket's India guide in English alone, Kalshi's Taiwan guide in Traditional Chinese alone and its South Korea guide in Korean alone), the US CPI guide in fifteen, the payrolls guide in eighteen, the news-reaction guide in fifteen, the recession-indicators guide in eleven, the polls-and-odds guide in four, and the newest finance, crypto, economics and sports explainers in English and a few languages each (many in English alone): - [Accumulating vs distributing ETFs: where the income goes](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/accumulating-vs-distributing-etfs.html) - [Aggregate score vs away goals: how a two-leg tie is decided](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/aggregate-score-vs-away-goals.html) - [Annualized vs total return: compare the period and calculation](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/annualized-vs-total-return.html) - [APR vs APY: US loan costs and deposit interest](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/apr-vs-apy-explained.html) - [ATP Race vs Rankings: what each table tells you](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/atp-race-vs-rankings.html) - [Base and quote currency explained: read the units first](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/base-and-quote-currency-explained.html) - [Basis points vs percentage points: read the change and its starting rate](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/basis-points-vs-percentage-points.html) - [Best prediction markets: choose by how you trade](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/best-prediction-markets.html) - [Betting exchange vs bookmaker: follow both sides of a bet](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/betting-exchange-vs-bookmaker.html) - [How to read betting odds and implied probability](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/betting-odds-implied-probability.html) - [BI-Rate vs IndONIA: how to read the rates and dates](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/bi-rate-vs-indonia.html) - [What does Bitcoin dominance mean?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/bitcoin-dominance-meaning.html) - [Coupon rate vs current yield: why the same bond can show different rates](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/bond-coupon-vs-yield-explained.html) - [Breakeven inflation vs inflation expectations: read US Treasury spreads](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/breakeven-inflation-vs-inflation-expectations.html) - [Bridge vs swap: what changes in a crypto route?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/bridge-vs-swap-explained.html) - [Brier Score vs Log Loss: How to Compare Probability Forecasts](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/brier-score-vs-log-loss.html) - [Buchholz, Cut-1 and Sonneborn–Berger: why tied players can rank differently](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/chess-buchholz-vs-sonneborn-berger.html) - [Confidence interval vs prediction interval: the mean or the next observation?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/confidence-interval-vs-prediction-interval.html) - [Contango vs backwardation: read the futures curve, not a price prediction](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/contango-vs-backwardation.html) - [What happens if a Super Over is tied? Men's T20 World Cup 2026 rules](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/cricket-tied-super-over-rules.html) - [Crypto funding rates: who pays whom?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/crypto-funding-rate-explained.html) - [How Currency Intervention Works: Japan’s Decisions and Yen Trades](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/currency-intervention-explained.html) - [Dividend yield vs payout ratio: what does each percentage measure?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/dividend-yield-vs-payout-ratio.html) - [Drawdown vs loss percentage: check the reference value](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/drawdown-vs-loss-percentage.html) - [Electoral College vs. popular vote: what each count means](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/electoral-college-vs-popular-vote.html) - [Why can a pitcher's ERA and FIP differ?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/era-vs-fip-explained.html) - [Why can an ETF trade above or below its NAV?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/etf-market-price-vs-nav-explained.html) - [ETH vs WETH: what changes when ether is wrapped?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/eth-vs-weth-explained.html) - [Gas limit vs gas price: which number determines the fee?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/ethereum-gas-limit-vs-gas-price.html) - [What does expected goals (xG) measure in football?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/expected-goals-xg-football-explained.html) - [Expected value: a weighted average of possible net outcomes](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/expected-value-and-probability.html) - [F1 Sprint points vs race points: the 2026 scoring rules](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/f1-sprint-points-vs-race-points.html) - [Can the Fed cut rates during quantitative tightening?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/fed-rate-cuts-during-qt.html) - [How to read CME FedWatch probabilities](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/fed-rate-probabilities-explained.html) - [Are FOMC minutes a new policy decision or a record of the meeting?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/fomc-statement-vs-meeting-minutes.html) - [Stoppage Time vs. Extra Time in Football: What Changes?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/football-stoppage-time-vs-extra-time.html) - [Futures margin vs leverage: which amount is in the denominator?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/futures-margin-vs-leverage-explained.html) - [Is a forward exchange rate a prediction of the future spot rate?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/fx-spot-vs-forward-exchange-rate.html) - [Spot gold vs gold futures price: what are you comparing?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/gold-spot-vs-futures-price.html) - [Government Shutdown vs Debt Default: Two Different Triggers](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/government-shutdown-vs-debt-default.html) - [Which Comes First: Head-to-Head or Goal Difference?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/group-stage-tiebreakers-head-to-head-vs-goal-difference.html) - [Hashrate vs mining difficulty: what each Bitcoin metric tells you](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/hashrate-vs-mining-difficulty.html) - [Hawkish vs dovish: what does the policy language mean?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/hawkish-vs-dovish-meaning.html) - [Home advantage in football: what do the statistics measure?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/home-advantage-football-statistics-explained.html) - [Why can Hong Kong interest rates differ from US rates under the dollar peg?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/hong-kong-dollar-peg-vs-interest-rates.html) - [How to trade prediction markets, step by step](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/how-to-trade-prediction-markets.html) - [How to trade prediction markets in Nigeria, step by step](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/how-to-trade-prediction-markets-in-nigeria.html) - [How to Verify a Solana Transaction: Confirmed, Finalized and Failed](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/how-to-verify-solana-transaction.html) - [Impermanent Loss vs Holding: Compare the Same Starting Tokens](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/impermanent-loss-vs-holding.html) - [CPI vs WPI in India: What Each Inflation Measure Tells You](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/india-cpi-vs-wpi-difference.html) - [Sold shares in India: trading balance, withdrawable balance and bank credit](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/india-share-sale-trading-vs-withdrawable-balance.html) - [Investing vs trading vs speculation: what changes, and what does not?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/investing-trading-speculation-differences.html) - [Is Polymarket legit? Check the product, rules and risks](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/is-polymarket-legit.html) - [Japan's active vs new job openings ratio: what changes?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/japan-active-vs-new-job-openings-ratio.html) - [Why Rakuten may block a same-day cash-stock repurchase](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/japan-cash-stock-same-day-funds-reuse.html) - [BOJ Policy Decisions and TONA: How to Match the Dates and Rates](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/japan-policy-target-vs-tona-fixing.html) - [JOLTS job openings vs hires: what changes and what does not?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/jolts-job-openings-vs-hires.html) - [Kalshi Alternatives: What Do You Want to Change?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kalshi-alternative.html) - [Kalshi in Hong Kong: legality, terms and account access](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kalshi-hong-kong.html) - [Is Kalshi legal in Japan? Separate terms from Japanese law](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kalshi-japan.html) - [Can you trade Kalshi event contracts in Singapore?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kalshi-singapore.html) - [Kalshi vs HypaForecast: compare the cost and the money path](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kalshi-vs-hypaforecast.html) - [Kalshi Withdrawal Pending? Check the Stage and Missing Records](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kalshi-withdrawal-pending.html) - [KBO postseason rain rules in 2026: delays, suspended games and what happens next](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kbo-postseason-suspended-vs-rain-called-game.html) - [KOFR vs Korea’s CD rate: what each benchmark measures](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/kofr-vs-cd-rate-korea.html) - [Korea Investment’s unpaid-settlement FAQ explained](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/korea-unpaid-stock-settlement-account-freeze.html) - [Liquidation vs stop loss: who triggers the exit?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/liquidation-vs-stop-loss-explained.html) - [Why Does a Team’s Win Probability Change During a Match?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/live-win-probability-football-explained.html) - [Gun Time vs Chip Time in Japan: How Marathon Rankings Can Differ](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/marathon-gun-vs-chip-time-rankings.html) - [Market cap vs fully diluted valuation: which supply are you multiplying?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/market-cap-vs-fully-diluted-valuation.html) - [Median vs. Mean Household Income: What Is the Difference?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/median-vs-mean-household-income.html) - [Natural Gas Storage: What the Five-Year Average Tells You](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/natural-gas-storage-five-year-average.html) - [Nominal GDP vs real GDP: separate prices from output](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/nominal-vs-real-gdp-explained.html) - [Nominal vs real return: measure purchasing power](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/nominal-vs-real-return.html) - [Offside position vs offside offence: what makes the difference?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/offside-position-vs-offside-offence.html) - [Open interest vs trading volume: what are you counting?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/open-interest-vs-trading-volume.html) - [Opinion trading apps in India: what to check now](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/opinion-trading-india.html) - [Option intrinsic value vs time value: separate price components from profit](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/option-intrinsic-value-vs-time-value.html) - [Order book vs AMM: follow how a purchase changes the price](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/order-book-vs-amm-explained.html) - [Polls and election odds: compare the questions before the percentages](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polls-vs-election-odds.html) - [Polymarket Alternatives: Compare Markets, Fees and Ways to Start](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-alternative.html) - [Polymarket app: which product does a listing belong to?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-app.html) - [Polymarket in Hong Kong: a restriction list is not legal approval](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-hong-kong.html) - [Polymarket in India: restrictions, access and accounts](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-india.html) - [Polymarket in Japan: restrictions, law and existing positions](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-japan.html) - [Polymarket in South Korea: restrictions and gambling-law risks](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-korea.html) - [Polymarket restricted countries: read the rules before relying on a list](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-restricted-countries.html) - [Polymarket in Singapore: restrictions and close-only status](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-singapore.html) - [Polymarket in Taiwan: trading restrictions and legal risks](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-taiwan.html) - [Polymarket in Thailand: restrictions and close-only status](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-thailand.html) - [Polymarket vs HypaForecast: which fits your next trade?](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-vs-hypaforecast.html) - [Polymarket vs Kalshi: compare access, fees and your actual trade](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/polymarket-vs-kalshi.html) - [PPDA in Football: Meaning, Formula and Fair Comparisons](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/ppda-meaning-football.html) - [Chance of rain vs. rainfall amount: what 40% actually means](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/precipitation-probability-vs-rainfall-amount.html) - [Prediction market comparison: find the right trading fit](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/prediction-market-comparison.html) - [Prediction Market Fees: Trading Costs, Formulas & Net Profit](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/prediction-market-fees.html) - [How to write prediction market questions and resolution criteria](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/prediction-market-question-and-resolution-criteria.html) - [Prediction markets available in Africa: check your country](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/prediction-markets-available-in-africa.html) - [Prediction markets available in Nigeria: access, KYC and funding](https://hypacrazy.com/en/articles/prediction-markets-available-in-nigeria.html) - [What is a prediction market? 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